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Golob’s party is falling, SDS party is getting dangerously close to it

While Mediana published its results a few days ago and claimed that both the government and Robert Golob’s party are entering the political autumn with record support, the results of the Parsifal agency show that support for the Gibanje Svoboda and the Levica parties is falling, while the support for SDS party is growing. Among those who would take part in the elections, the difference between the largest government and opposition parties is just under 4 percentage points. Support is also growing for Nova Slovenija party – the Christian Democrats, while the Social Democrats have held approximately the same level since the last measurement.

If the elections to the National Assembly were held this Sunday, the largest number of voters would give their support to the party Gibanje Svoboda (29.3 percent), followed by SDS (22.5 percent), NSi (7.3 percent), SD (6.6 percent) and the Levica (3.6 percent).

The difference only decreases with the participants in the elections

Among those determined (there were 488), the Gibanje Svoboda would get 42.3 percent, SDS 32.4 percent, NSi 10.6 percent, SD 9.6 percent, and Levica 5.1 percent. The difference between the largest government and opposition parties, however, narrows among those who will definitely take part in the elections. In this case, the Gibanje Svoboda gets 33.2 percent support, while SDS gets 29.3 percent. The difference is therefore only 3.9 percentage points. They are followed by the Social Democrats (8.4 percent), Nova Slovenija (7.8 percent), and Levica, which would drop out of parliament with 3.5 percent.

The results in the category of voters who would definitely take part in the elections should be attributed to the loyal and solid base of the SDS party, while the voters of the left are more fluid. Likewise, the government of Robert Golob has not yet adopted any strategically important law to combat the ever-increasing costliness but has been intensively engaged in staffing. Within three months, the results can already be compared with the former Janša’s government, which showed significantly greater efficiency during this period. It adopted the first comprehensive anti-corona law in less than 20 days of its reign.

The Parsifal survey, which took place between August 30th and September 2nd, included 703 respondents, of which 51.2 percent were women. The average age is 53.7 years, the standard deviation is 16.3. The majority of respondents are from the oldest age group (49.1 percent), the middle age group is slightly less represented (32.8 percent), and the least number of respondents are from the youngest age group (18.1 percent). The majority of respondents have completed secondary school (34.2 percent), followed by those with completed higher, education or more (27.4 percent), 20.7 percent of respondents have a vocational school and 17.6 percent of respondents have completed elementary or incomplete primary school. Most respondents come from a village or hamlet (56.1 percent), followed by a city (28.1 percent), and a small town (15.7 percent). Most respondents come from the Osrednjeslovenska region (26.0 percent), followed by the Podravka (15.2 percent) and Savinja (12.4 percent) regions.

Sara Bertoncelj

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